The MACD indicator is constructed from weighted Moving Averages,
also known as Optimised Averages. Gerald Appel's MACD is the difference between
a fast exponential moving average (FastMA) and a slow exponential moving average
(SlowMA). During rising markets, the fast moving average will rise more quickly
than the slow moving average, resulting in a rising differential line (MACD indicator)
or a larger value. During falling markets the FastMA line will fall more quickly
than the SlowMA line. The specified length of FastMA must be shorter than the specified
length of SlowMA; if not, the oscillator will invert (that is, bullish signals will
become bearish signals and bearish signals will become bullish signals).
MACD is generally better at signalling the beginning of bullish
moves than bearish moves, and should be applied accordingly. In addition to the
conventional usage, careful attention should be paid to changes in this indicator.
A downturn in the indicator while a bullish signal is in force is often an early
indication that the current up move is losing strength and long positions should
be closed. Similarly, an upturn in the MACD indicator while a bearish signal is
in force may indicate that the market is finding support and is ready to rally.
Experimentation with historical data will give optimal values for the inputs and
necessary practice in interpreting the signals.